On what legal basis do we process your data? What is new in the current version v Kad jei suinot dar daugiau patikimu ir suki tai forexpeacearmy Re: As I said before, it was a complete mystery to me why 99 of forex robots fail in spite of such great backtests One possible answer to this question is over-optimization curve fitting The forex robot is optimized from to and only the best looking equity curve is selected This is terribly wrong because that nice looking equity curve is only an accident that doesn t repeat so often in real trading Therefore, as a consequence, the robot fails a few month after the launch. Die Leistung Trendlinie zeigt deutlich die zunehmende Beschleunigung. Visi kiti priedai, reikalingi sistemai pajungti. What exactly a bayesian classifier does and how can this be applied to forex trading.

Sveiki, mielieji skaitytojai. Sklaidant mūsų Forex portalo puslapius, kurie vienaip ar kitaip susiję su automatine prekyba (Forex robotais), aš priėjau išvados, kad išsamų vaizdą apie šį prekybos būdą, pagal tą informaciją, kuri yra dabar, susidaryti sunku.

Forex prekyba - (Price Action trys žvakės)

Publicerad den 16 februari 19 56 58 Publicerad den 9 februari 22 23 50 Publicerad fredag, 13 jan 19 52 00 Posted 7 april Att dra nytta av eurozonen skuldkrisen. Uppdaterad 10 februari 10 Studera mer om pengarhantering.

Risk mer och vara defensiv. Figur 1 Weekly Dollar Index. Chart courtesy Wordon Brothers. Till exempel spekulanter som George Soros kraftigt kortat det brittiska pundet Nycklar till handel Trenden. Short Entry och Exit. Here is how to draw a Fib Level for those that don t know. If price is getting close to one of those 3 key fib levels, be prepared to make an entry.

As soon as price touches a weekly Fib level, you are now in the waiting for signal mode In other words, the criteria has lined up for you to make a trade, now all you need is the signal to confirm your forecast. For this strategy, the signal is a momentum daily bar in the direction of our long term trend An ideal daily signal candle will have a tail that has tested pierced through the Fib level, but then reversed back into the direction of the trend.

Just like I showed you in the video above some trades win and some lose. Don t try to manage the trade or get fancy, just trust the strategy and let the trade be a winner or a loser Trading is all about Math a good strategy has winners and losers, but at the end of the year, the winners out-weigh the loser They will in the strategy if you follow it with discipline. Hope you guys enjoyed learning one of my favorite long term strategies Please leave a comment with any feedbackment if you plan on trying the strategy or comment if you hate the strategy.

Either way, I d love to get your feedback. Enjoyed the writing and video s but will have to go over it again a few times as I am a newbie and using longterm for the fist time Thank you for the information, they are helpful and exciting. I think the reason most people try to scalp is they are taught to be scared of the market by teachers that are trading failures I agree with Nathan, the trader that is here for the long term is a swing trader data that can be used is measured in volumes instead of snippets next thing to get past is letting a profitable trade run and not being so scared of a loss you fail to maximize profits one piece of advice I would give every trader is learn enough about Elliott Wave to distinguish the difference between motive waves and corrective waves and once you see the tell tale sign of one, know what the most likely out come of the next move it a retrace or breakout, and how far is it expected to travel so I can set profit targets with no guess work and I can set stops that only trigger when I am proved to be wrong trading everyone Tim.

Nathan, how do you deal with the swap rates with this longer term strategy. I trade this way but often have to close a trade due to the overnight swaps What broker do you use I am looking for a broker with competitive swap rates, I know some pairs have a positive value but I cant consider that when looking at the longer trends Thanks, Tom. Thanks Nathan An awesome strategy It is my favourite strategy My problem is I lack the necessary patience it needs to be profit able You wrote Trading is all about Math a good strategy has winners and losers, but at the end of the year, the winners out-weigh the losers They will, in the strategy, if you follow it with discipline if I may add, AND PATIENCE Great write-up Very encouraging I am definitely going back to this strategy in Excellent strategy, I have been looking for a good simple long term strategy, this will free up my time and still allow me to be involved in trading Thanks very much.

Thanks for reading I am glad this article may serve as a useful piece of information for you Feel free to re-post here later on and let us know how your strategy is going using these longer time frames. Thanks Louis, I appreciate you taking the time to read and also leaving a comment Let me know how you do using this strategy. Hey Joe, thanks for the great comment, I really appreciate you putting the time and effort into adding value to this post with a great, informative comment I don t believe I have ever heard anyo ne lay out the reasons for using the daily chart as you did, and that is very interesting I would love to learn more about your strategy, Perhaps you could write out a nice explanation of it like I did in this article and we could post it on the blog as a guest post by you I am sure our readers would love to get your perspective.

Thanks for this, I have tried this some on dly hrly charts and had some success, but needed these s l target levels to work on your longterm trades with this system with advise outcome down the road. Thanks for the information, I plan to start the new year with longer time frames and I was going to use 4 hour charts But now I will look at weekly and daily charts more. Excellent and simple strategy Will be adopting this one.

Hi Nathan, To me, this is excellent stuff with precious tips and avices like going WITH the longer time frames trend, where to put stop-loss and target, avoiding entry if major level is too close from entry, I will definitely put that strategy into my trading plan What I love with you and Casey is your honesty and transparency not ONLY showing winners but clearly saying and showing that we will loose too I am always amazed with the quality of your articles and the knowledge you already have at your young age How good wil you be at 30 or 40 Just one very basic question how do you define and recognize a major level do you al ways look at candle charts only to spot it Thanks so much for all your efforts in helping us trading with an edge.

Hi Zaheer, thanks for reading and leaving some feedback. Let me address your questions. Hope the above answers your questions appropriately. Thanks again for reading and leaving a comment. Are forex robots the holy grail Should we use forex robots or should we trade manually What strategies are the best How do we determine which forex robot is the best and what are the best ways to use it Under what conditions do they work Why most commercial robots fail Are backtests useless I m trying to answer these questions, but keep in mind that I m not interested in short term high gains I m aiming long term consistent profits, between every month Quick profit involves a very high risk, this is one o f forex golden rules per year is awesome considering the fact that the bank interest doesn t exceed per year the most.

Long story short My robot, Zamolxis has made a profit during one year and 6 months period Which means. Here, at we treat forex as a business And before we start a business, any business, we need to know when exactly will get back our main investment. According to investopedia The yield is the income return on an investment, such as the interest or dividends received from holding a particular security The yield is usually expressed as an annual percentage rate based on the investment s cost, current market value or face value.

For example, suppose we buy a nice house for 3,00, and rent it At the end of the year, we get a nice 21, re venue, which gives us an yield of nearly 7 per year After 14 years of renting, we finally recovered our main investment.

On the other side, forex is a more lucrative business if treated as a business because the yield is much higher Zamolxis has an average yield of 35 60 per year which comes with a risk of 20 If you want to lower the risk to 2 , the profit is also reduced at 6 This is comparable to the situation we described above.

For those of you who don t have the money or time to buy a house and rent it, we propose Zamolxis. But before diving into details, let s see how it works. What exactly a bayesian classifier does and how can this be applied to forex trading. I have written a very comprehensive article about bayesian filters, everyone can understand it, please check it out here.

Tu put it simply, a bayesian filter calculates the probability of success based on several factors like support and resistance points and if the probability is good enough, a trade is being opened My forex robot, called Zamolxis is a mixture of bayesian filters and perceptrons sometimes neural network classifiers work better under certain circumstances and this robot uses both.

I have spent an entire year trying to gather as much data as possible in order to feed the neural networks and bayesian filters Then, I let them learn and classify the market conditions all by themselves, no optimization was performed It survived in the wild without any optimization or tweaking The purpose was merely survival and learning, without any kind of trade filtering whatsoever, not the profit Now, the test is over and it s time to see the results This time, the robot is fully trained and ready to make money You can see the results here live account.

My own demo forward test here. How does Zamolxis work. At first, it was a complete mystery to me why all forex robots fail in spite of such great backtests The answer is simple the market changes and it doesn t always follow past conditions You have to face many months and years of drawdown before you see the light at the end of the tunnel again What is my solution to this problem The approach is different First of all, I don t care about the drawdown anymore The lot gets increased after 3 or more losses and the robot recovers fast, the only thing I care is to keep a lower losing streak, in my case, no more than 7 losses in a row.

This is not martingale, it s position sizing. The recovery function has nothing to do with martingale Martingale involves opening multiple positions while doubling the lot size and keeping them open until the all are closed for a profit or the account gets blown This is the fastest way to lose the account. My recovery function doesn t involve martingale, but position sizing, which is a very di fferent thing Zamolxis opens one position at a time.

No system is highly profitable on the long run unless it is using some sort of recovery function or position sizing Zamolxis wins 51 of the trades considering the fact that take profit is always higher than stop loss It is profitable even without any recovery function but the profit is low Besides, nobody has the time to wait for years of drawdown, we already know that from our past adventures with forex robots That s why I created a realistic recovery function.

I have backtested the robot from to , saved all winning settings, then backtested it against unseen data, from to If the losing streak and drawdown doesn t change than I considered that setting to be a valid one and discarded the rest If the losing streak gets higher than 6, the strategy gets invalidated by the market changes and the robot has to be retrained Please note that this is not the holy grail, there is no such thing, it s just a trading tool.

At the close of every bar, the market conditions are analyzed and classified with a bayesian filter and a neural network If the feedback is similar, the robot opens a trade Take profit is usually higher than stop loss, making the robot more reliable and trustworthy. It has a solid recovery function, the lot gets increased after 3 or more consecutive losses A very fast recovery is expected. Sometimes is trades every signal, sometimes it doesn t After a more careful analysis I reached the conclusion that sometimes, under certain conditions opening at every signal is a bad thing to do Why Suppose we re talking about a forex robot that opens a trade every time the current candle closes above bellow a moving average When a violent trend occurs many trades are being opened and if a more violent reversal occurs then we re out It s wiser to analyze the market conditions before start ing to open more than one trade in the same direction for the same strategy.

Is a very and I mean very frequent trader, you won t get bored watching it. If the market suffers major changes, the pattern is no longer valid and the robot should be retrained in order to learn the new market patterns.

As I said before, it was a complete mystery to me why 99 of forex robots fail in spite of such great backtests One possible answer to this question is over-optimization curve fitting The forex robot is optimized from to and only the best looking equity curve is selected This is terribly wrong because that nice looking equity curve is only an accident that doesn t repeat so often in real trading Therefore, as a consequence, the robot fails a few month after the launch.

A second possible answer is that the market changes to some degree and the strategy no longer works until the market changes in our favor again. My approach is different Stop loss is smaller than Take Prof it and no more than losing trades in a row are allowed The recovery function makes sure that we are in profit all the time.

I trained the robot from to and then tested it against unseen data, from to If the number of consecutive losses in a row doesn t change, then the pattern is solid enough. If the number of allowed losses is exceeded, then the market changed and the robot should be retrained. How recovery function works.

The way this robot is designed is very important I need to know if the backtests are valid or not, this is the main problem of all forex robots. Optimizing the wrong way 99 of forex robot vendors are doing it, intentionally or not. The robot is optimized for the whole testing period, for example between and It selects only the best trades, the equity curve looks nice, everything is fine, then after a few months, it bites the dust At first, as I stated before it was a complete mystery to me why Then I realized that the market does not beha ve according to our backtests, the conditions change and therefore the pattern is broken The second important thing is that backtesting this way there is no checking procedure How can we tell if the backtest is valid or not We can t.

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Sveiki, gerbiamieji Forex treideriai! Tikriausiai esate girdėję apie Forex strategiją, kurios pagrindas yra prekyba GEPais - tai kainos atotrūkiai - tuštumos po savaitgalio, kai rinka atsidaro pirmadieniais. AUTOMATINĖ FOREX PREKYBA Norite uždirbti Forex rinkoje automatiškai kopijuodami sėkmingų prekeivių sandorius? Nėra nieko paprasčiau: Pasirinkite vieną iš žemiau nurodytų realių prekybos sąskaitų, patikrinkite tos sąskaitos istoriją per monitoringą;. Analogiškai prekiaujama ir FOREX. Kadangi valiutų kursas pastoviai kinta, todėl, nusipirkus tam tikrą valiutos kiekį, jos vertei pakilus kitos valiutos atžvilgiu ir pardavus, gaunamas pelnas. Taigi paleidus AGEA klientą ir .


Forex prekyba yra itin rizikingas užsiemimas ir tinka ne visiems investuotojams. Yra tikimybe patirti dalinį arba visą kapitalo praradimą, todėl nespekuliuokite kapitalu, kurio negalite sau leisti prarasti. automatine 'forex' prekyba. brokerio pagalba 'forex ' robotas nemokamai, uŽdarbis nuo pakviestu nariu, puikios galimybes tinklapio lankomumui pakelt. geriausia metu 'partneriu programa' yra iŠsamios video pamokos, galima nemaŽai uŽdirbti iŠ . Sveiki. Ilgai laukta gera žinia visiems, kurie domisi automatine robotų prekyba! Dabar prie FORExabc sukurto visus praėjusius metus sėkmingai prekiavusio roboto MVMM gali jungtis visi! Prie MVMM jau prisijungė 12 žmonių.

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